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    FX Talking: Keeping the (bullish) faith
    FX Talking: Keeping the (bullish) faith
    Report6 July 2020
    Despite many opportunities, risk assets have so far avoided the kind of sharp re-alignment with Main Street that so many…
    By Chris Turner, Petr Krpata, CFAand Francesco Pesole
     
    China Quarterly Update: Technology v bricks and mortar
    Geopolitics and Globalisation 
    China Quarterly Update: Technology v bricks and mortar
    Article30 June 2020
    Lockdowns and social distancing measures are short-term issues for the Chinese economy as a result of the Covid-19…
    By Iris Pang 
     
    Post-Brexit trade deal still possible despite rollercoaster talks
    Geopolitics and Globalisation 
    Post-Brexit trade deal still possible despite rollercoaster talks
    Article3 July 2020
    Despite the latest round of UK-EU talks ending a day early, it's too early to conclude that the chances of a trade…
    By James Smith
     
    RBA preview: Currency comments to drive reaction
    RBA preview: Currency comments to drive reaction
    Article3 July 2020
    From a rates perspective, there is little need for Australia's central bank to do anything on Tuesday. The only cause…
    By Robert Carnelland Francesco Pesole
     
    July Economic Update: From yesterday to tomorrow
    July Economic Update: From yesterday to tomorrow
    Report2 July 2020
    The reopenings have led to a sharp rebound in activity, but new localised Covid-19 outbreaks have cast a renewed cloud…
    By Carsten Brzeski, Chris Turnerand 9 others
     
        
        Spotify  
      Listen: Brazil’s Covid crisis
    Geopolitics and Globalisation 
    Listen: Brazil’s Covid crisis
    Article3 July 2020
    With 1.4 million coronavirus cases and over 60,000 deaths, Brazil now ranks as the second worst hit country in the world,…
    By Gustavo Rangeland Rebecca Byrne
     
    GBP: The ongoing disappointment
    GBP: The ongoing disappointment
    Article30 June 2020
    EUR/GBP broke through our quarter-end target of 0.91. We see more downside to sterling and expect EUR/GBP to trade above…
    By Petr Krpata, CFA
     
    UK public finances: Not (yet) breaking the bank
    UK public finances: Not (yet) breaking the bank
    Article1 July 2020
    The myriad of risks surrounding the UK economic recovery means that government borrowing is set to remain high both this…
    By James Smithand Antoine Bouvet
     
      
          
      National debt levels – A cautionary tale
    National debt levels – A cautionary tale
    ArticleThe IMF's latest forecasts suggest a deeper contraction for 2020 with growth…
    1594136643
      
              
      Supply, rates and curve: What to expect in 2H20 and beyond
    Supply, rates and curve: What to expect in 2H20 and beyond
    ArticleWe probably haven't seen the last upward revision to European states deficits,…
    1594129515
      
        
          
      THINK Outside
    VoxEU: Covid and the nature of capitalism
    By VOX EU
    OpinionFor all the harm that it caused, the Covid-19 crisis provided an opening to rethink…
    1594135262
      
              
      FX Positioning: EUR remains king despite a correction
    FX Positioning: EUR remains king despite a correction
    ArticleIn the week 24-30 June, CFTC positioning for EUR/USD corrected lower by the most in…
    1594124373
      
      
      
        
      
          
      Czech industrial production improved in May, but not enough
    Czech industrial production improved in May, but not enough
    SnapCzech industrial production increased by 13.8% from April, but compared to a year…
    1594119509
        
          
      Are European governments pushing for a green recovery? 
    Are European governments pushing for a green recovery? 
    ArticleSustainability was already a hot-topic pre-Covid-19, but will this trend still…
    1594112837
        
          
          
      
      
    From yesterday to tomorrow
        July Economic Update: From yesterday to tomorrow
    July Economic Update: From yesterday to tomorrow
    The reopenings have led to a sharp rebound in activity, but new localised Covid-19 outbreaks have cast a renewed cloud…
    By Carsten Brzeski, Chris Turnerand 9 others
    Download PDF
      Geopolitics and Globalisation US: The wrong direction
    ArticleCovid-19 infections and hospitalisations are on the rise in many states, leading to…
      Eurozone: A deceptive ‘V’
    ArticleRecent indicators point to a V-shaped recovery, but that won’t last very…
      China: Covid-19 adds pressure to exports 
    ArticleDomestically-driven growth has been faster than foreign-driven exports and…
      FX markets leave lockdown behind them
    ArticleThis month, we’ve been tasked with looking at the effects of lockdown exits…
      Rates: Warning signs that equities might have it all wrong
    ArticleMost financial instruments are present values of a discounted stream of future…
      Geopolitics and Globalisation US Politics: Troubling times for Mr President
    ArticlePresident Trump is languishing in the polls both nationally and in the swing states…
     
    Taiwan: exports keep falling
    Taiwan: exports keep falling
    SnapTaiwan's exports and imports continue to shrink on a yearly basis despite…
    1594117468
    Hungary: A bittersweet record in industry
    Hungary: A bittersweet record in industry
    SnapAfter an historic collapse, we now have an historic rebound in industry. However,…
    1594118481
    Daily FX: Yuan back to the 7.00 dilemma
    Daily FX: Yuan back to the 7.00 dilemma
    ArticleChinese equities’ extraordinary rally remains in focus as a key driver of…
    1594106765
    Rates Spark: Better safe than sorry
    Rates Spark: Better safe than sorry
    ArticleWe expect investors to reduce risk into next week's ECB meeting but the threat…
    1594102140
      
      
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    Media
    National debt levels – A cautionary tale
    National debt levels – A cautionary tale
    US jobs – Don’t believe all the hype
    US jobs – Don’t believe all the hype
    Listen: Recovery, reflation and the market response
    Listen: Recovery, reflation and the market response
    Covid-19 impacts on supply chains
    Covid-19 impacts on supply chains
    WATCH: The effect of coronavirus on spending and saving
    WATCH: The effect of coronavirus on spending and saving
    China is recovering, but it’s still way too slow
    China is recovering, but it’s still way too slow
    Why Europe may finally be getting its act together over Covid-19
    Why Europe may finally be getting its act together over Covid-19
    Prepare for a significant QE increase in the UK 
    Prepare for a significant QE increase in the UK 
    Covid-19, deglobalisation and the cost companies must now consider
    Covid-19, deglobalisation and the cost companies must now consider
    The race to economic recovery
    The race to economic recovery
    Brexit: Are the markets right to be worried… again? 
    Brexit: Are the markets right to be worried… again? 
    Bottom line: We’re not going to get stagflation
    Bottom line: We’re not going to get stagflation
    Now for some good news
    Now for some good news
    Britain, breakout and Brexit
    Britain, breakout and Brexit
    The big change in oil sentiment
    The big change in oil sentiment
    Watch:  Which market is getting it right? 
    Watch:  Which market is getting it right? 
    Europe’s top court hits back at German ECB ruling
    Europe’s top court hits back at German ECB ruling
    Central bank digital currencies and Covid-19
    Central bank digital currencies and Covid-19
    6 ways Covid-19 is transforming digital finance
    6 ways Covid-19 is transforming digital finance
    Europe’s uneven recovery
    Europe’s uneven recovery
     
     
    THINK Outside New and expanding soon
    VoxEU: Covid and the nature of capitalism
              
    Priorities for the Covid-19 Economy
              
    Post-Pandemic Economic Leadership Begins in America
              
    The Main Street Manifesto
        
    Reports 
      
        LATAM FX Talking: Reaching the limit of rate cuts
    LATAM FX Talking: Reaching the limit of rate cuts
    A preoccupation with stability in local financial markets, especially FX, is now driving the monetary policy decisions of…
    By Gustavo Rangel
    Download PDF
      
      
        FX Talking: Keeping the (bullish) faith
    FX Talking: Keeping the (bullish) faith
    Despite many opportunities, risk assets have so far avoided the kind of sharp re-alignment with Main Street that so many…
    By Chris Turner, Petr Krpata, CFAand Francesco Pesole
    Download PDF
      
      
        Asia FX Talking: Balance of risks
    Asia FX Talking: Balance of risks
    The near-term direction for Asian currencies will be dominated by whether Covid-19 angst or recovery optimism prevail.…
    By Robert Carnell, Chris Turnerand 3 others
    Download PDF
      
      
        July Economic Update: From yesterday to tomorrow
    July Economic Update: From yesterday to tomorrow
    The reopenings have led to a sharp rebound in activity, but new localised Covid-19 outbreaks have cast a renewed cloud…
    By Carsten Brzeski, Chris Turnerand 9 others
    Download PDF
      
        
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